Oscar Predictions 2012: Best Actress

Last Updated: January 22, 2012 (FINAL PREDICITONS)

Red = virtually guaranteed a nomination

Orange = good chance of nomination

Yellow = a strong contender

Green = in the mix

Blue = don’t count them out yet

Oscar Predictions Home | Picture | Director | Actor | Actress | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress | Screenplays | Cinematography and Art Direction | Costumes | Makeup

1. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)

Pros: She’s Meryl Streep. Seriously.

Cons: None. She’s getting nominated, and has a good chance at winning.

2. Viola Davis (The Help)

Pros: Her movie was a feel-good hit, and critics seemed to almost universally agree that Davis was the strongest member of great cast.

Cons: Her performance may have been too low-key to stick with voters. But I doubt it.

3. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)

Pros: Williams is coming off a nomination just last year, and this is the kind of glitzy biopic that can do very well at the Oscars. If the Academy really goes for this movie, Williams could even have a shot at winning.

Cons: Unless the film really doesn’t agree with the Academy (which I doubt), she’s in.

4. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)

Pros: She’s a previous winner in a meaty role, and many felt that she has been snubbed the past couple of years. She secured BFCA and SAG nominations, which almost always = Oscar nomination.

Cons: It’s a small film, and that has worked against Swinton in the past couple years (that said, she did not have the pre-cursor support in previous years).

5. Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)

Pros: Close is a five-time loser at the Oscars. That’s hard to compete with. So far, she’s been getting raves for this performance. She got a SAG nomination.

Cons: Aside from the SAG nom, she’s been strangely absent this awards season. Her film wasn’t universally loved.


Other Possibilities

6. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

7. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)

8. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)

9. Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)


Awards Tracker

HFPA = Golden Globes | SAG = Screen Actors Guild | BFCA = Critics’ Choice Awards | ISA = Independent Spirit Awards | IPA = International Press Academy (Satellite Awards) | NBR = National Board of Review | HFA = Hollywood Film Awards | NSFC = National Society of Film Critics | BAFTA = British Academy of Film and Television Arts

(Red asterisk denotes win)

+ denotes nomination/win in the Supporting Actress category


Past Predictions

December: 1. Streep, 2. Davis, 2. Williams, 4. Swinton, 5. Close

November: 1. Davis, 2. Streep, 3. Close, 4. Olsen, 5. Williams

September: 1. Davis, 2. Streep, 3. Close, 4. Olsen, 5. Swinton

August: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Swinton

July: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Swinton

June: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Williams

May: Close, Dunst, Olsen, Streep, Swinton

March: Close, Jones, Streep, Swinton, Theron


Back to 2012 Oscar Predictions page


2 responses to “Oscar Predictions 2012: Best Actress

  1. I think Meryl Streep gonna win. Viola Davis had a good chance until the Iron Lady release.

  2. I noticed that of five actresses, only the *Diasporan, Viola Davis, was criticized for her performance, “too low-key to stick.” Just like our President’s burden, no matter how much good is done, at least one negative comment will accompany the achievement.

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