Oscar Predictions 2012: Screenplays

Last Updated: January 22, 2012 (FINAL PREDICTIONS)

Best Original Screenplay


1. Midnight in Paris	2. The Artist	3. Young Adult	4. 50/50	5. Bridesmaids
Woody Allen	Michael Hazanavicius	Diablo Cody	Will Reiser	Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumulo
It’s Woody’s best since Vicky Christina, and literary-minded hits don’t come along every day.	Surprising in some ways (considering its a silent film), but very likely.	Cody won this category back in ’08, and as long as early reviews are accurate, she and Reitman have done it again.	Audiences responded well to the mix of comedy and drama. Got a WGA nomination.	Granted, this is a lot of comedies for one category, but the WGA went for this one, too.

Other Possibilities: Margin Call, J. Edgar, Beginners

Best Adapted Screenplay


1. Moneyball	2. The Descendants	3. The Help	4. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy	5. Hugo
Steve Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin	Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash	Tate Taylor	Bridget O’Connor and Peter Strong	John Logan
Aaron Sorkin had the magic touch with The Social Netowork, and he could score another homerun with Moneyball.	Thoughtful character studies tend to do well, and Payne proved he had writing chops with Sideways.	Popular book + successful movie = Oscar nomination, in many cases (Seabiscuit, Atonement)	I’d expect sharp dialogue from this British spy thriller. Based on a successful book.	Based on a rich, semi-illustrated kids novel. Successful film, got a WGA nomination.

Other Possibilities: The Ides of March, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, War Horse, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

Previous Predictions

December: 1. Midnight in Paris, 2. The Artist, 3. Young Adult, 4. J. Edgar, 5. Margin Call

1. Moneyball, 2. The Descendants, 3. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, 4. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, 5. The Help

October: 1. Midnight in Paris, 2. Young Adult, 3. J. Edgar, 4. The Artist, 5. Like Crazy

1. Moneyball, 2. The Descendants, 3. The Help, 4. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, 5. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy