Last Updated: January 22, 2012 (FINAL PREDICITONS)
Red = virtually guaranteed a nomination
Orange = good chance of nomination
Yellow = a strong contender
Green = in the mix
Blue = don’t count them out yet
Oscar Predictions Home | Picture | Director | Actor | Actress | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress | Screenplays | Cinematography and Art Direction | Costumes | Makeup
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1. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
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Pros: She’s Meryl Streep. Seriously. Cons: None. She’s getting nominated, and has a good chance at winning. |
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2. Viola Davis (The Help)
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Pros: Her movie was a feel-good hit, and critics seemed to almost universally agree that Davis was the strongest member of great cast. Cons: Her performance may have been too low-key to stick with voters. But I doubt it. |
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3. Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn)
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Pros: Williams is coming off a nomination just last year, and this is the kind of glitzy biopic that can do very well at the Oscars. If the Academy really goes for this movie, Williams could even have a shot at winning. Cons: Unless the film really doesn’t agree with the Academy (which I doubt), she’s in. |
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4. Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
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Pros: She’s a previous winner in a meaty role, and many felt that she has been snubbed the past couple of years. She secured BFCA and SAG nominations, which almost always = Oscar nomination. Cons: It’s a small film, and that has worked against Swinton in the past couple years (that said, she did not have the pre-cursor support in previous years). |
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5. Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
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Pros: Close is a five-time loser at the Oscars. That’s hard to compete with. So far, she’s been getting raves for this performance. She got a SAG nomination. Cons: Aside from the SAG nom, she’s been strangely absent this awards season. Her film wasn’t universally loved. |
Other Possibilities
6. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
7. Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
8. Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
9. Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Awards Tracker
HFPA = Golden Globes | SAG = Screen Actors Guild | BFCA = Critics’ Choice Awards | ISA = Independent Spirit Awards | IPA = International Press Academy (Satellite Awards) | NBR = National Board of Review | HFA = Hollywood Film Awards | NSFC = National Society of Film Critics | BAFTA = British Academy of Film and Television Arts
(Red asterisk denotes win)
+ denotes nomination/win in the Supporting Actress category
Past Predictions
December: 1. Streep, 2. Davis, 2. Williams, 4. Swinton, 5. Close
November: 1. Davis, 2. Streep, 3. Close, 4. Olsen, 5. Williams
September: 1. Davis, 2. Streep, 3. Close, 4. Olsen, 5. Swinton
August: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Swinton
July: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Swinton
June: Close, Jones, Olsen, Streep, Williams
May: Close, Dunst, Olsen, Streep, Swinton
March: Close, Jones, Streep, Swinton, Theron
Times Like Those 